QLNet.GeneralStatistics.errorEstimate C# (CSharp) Метод

errorEstimate() публичный Метод

public errorEstimate ( ) : double
Результат double
        public double errorEstimate()
        {
            return Math.Sqrt(variance()/samples());
        }

Usage Example

Пример #1
0
        public void testSwaptionPricing()
        {
            //"Testing forward swap and swaption pricing...");

            //SavedSettings backup;

            const int size  = 10;
            const int steps = 8*size;
            #if QL_USE_INDEXED_COUPON
            const double tolerance = 1e-6;
            #else
            const double tolerance = 1e-12;
            #endif

            List<Date> dates = new List<Date>();
            List<double> rates = new List<double>();
            dates.Add(new Date(4,9,2005));
            dates.Add(new Date(4,9,2011));
            rates.Add(0.04);
            rates.Add(0.08);

            IborIndex index = makeIndex(dates, rates);

            LiborForwardModelProcess process = new LiborForwardModelProcess(size, index);

            LmCorrelationModel corrModel = new LmExponentialCorrelationModel(size, 0.5);

            LmVolatilityModel volaModel = new LmLinearExponentialVolatilityModel(process.fixingTimes(),
                                                                                0.291, 1.483, 0.116, 0.00001);

               // set-up pricing engine
            process.setCovarParam((LfmCovarianceParameterization)
                                       new LfmCovarianceProxy(volaModel, corrModel));

            // set-up a small Monte-Carlo simulation to price swations
            List<double> tmp = process.fixingTimes();

            TimeGrid grid=new TimeGrid(tmp ,steps);

            List<int> location=new List<int>();
            for (int i=0; i < tmp.Count; ++i) {
                location.Add(grid.index(tmp[i])) ;
            }

            ulong seed=42;
            const int nrTrails = 5000;
            LowDiscrepancy.icInstance = new InverseCumulativeNormal();

            IRNG rsg = (InverseCumulativeRsg<RandomSequenceGenerator<MersenneTwisterUniformRng>
                                                                    ,InverseCumulativeNormal>)
            new PseudoRandom().make_sequence_generator(process.factors()*(grid.size()-1),seed);

            MultiPathGenerator<IRNG> generator=new MultiPathGenerator<IRNG>(process,
                                                                            grid,
                                                                            rsg, false);

            LiborForwardModel liborModel = new LiborForwardModel(process, volaModel, corrModel);

            Calendar calendar = index.fixingCalendar();
            DayCounter dayCounter = index.forwardingTermStructure().link.dayCounter();
            BusinessDayConvention convention = index.businessDayConvention();

            Date settlement = index.forwardingTermStructure().link.referenceDate();

            SwaptionVolatilityMatrix m = liborModel.getSwaptionVolatilityMatrix();

            for (int i=1; i < size; ++i) {
                for (int j=1; j <= size-i; ++j) {
                    Date fwdStart    = settlement + new Period(6*i, TimeUnit.Months);
                    Date fwdMaturity = fwdStart + new Period(6*j, TimeUnit.Months);

                    Schedule schedule =new Schedule(fwdStart, fwdMaturity, index.tenor(), calendar,
                                       convention, convention, DateGeneration.Rule.Forward, false);

                    double swapRate  = 0.0404;
                    VanillaSwap forwardSwap = new VanillaSwap(VanillaSwap.Type.Receiver, 1.0,
                                                                schedule, swapRate, dayCounter,
                                                                schedule, index, 0.0, index.dayCounter());
                    forwardSwap.setPricingEngine(new DiscountingSwapEngine(index.forwardingTermStructure()));

                    // check forward pricing first
                    double expected = forwardSwap.fairRate();
                    double calculated = liborModel.S_0(i-1,i+j-1);

                    if (Math.Abs(expected - calculated) > tolerance)
                        Assert.Fail("Failed to reproduce fair forward swap rate"
                                    + "\n    calculated: " + calculated
                                    + "\n    expected:   " + expected);

                    swapRate = forwardSwap.fairRate();
                    forwardSwap =
                        new VanillaSwap(VanillaSwap.Type.Receiver, 1.0,
                                        schedule, swapRate, dayCounter,
                                        schedule, index, 0.0, index.dayCounter());
                    forwardSwap.setPricingEngine(new DiscountingSwapEngine(index.forwardingTermStructure()));

                    if (i == j && i<=size/2) {
                        IPricingEngine engine =
                            new LfmSwaptionEngine(liborModel, index.forwardingTermStructure());
                        Exercise exercise =
                            new EuropeanExercise(process.fixingDates()[i]);

                        Swaption swaption =
                            new Swaption(forwardSwap, exercise);
                        swaption.setPricingEngine(engine);

                        GeneralStatistics stat = new GeneralStatistics();

                        for (int n=0; n<nrTrails; ++n) {
                            Sample<MultiPath> path = (n%2!=0) ? generator.antithetic()
                                                     : generator.next();

                            //Sample<MultiPath> path = generator.next();
                            List<double> rates_ = new InitializedList<double>(size);
                            for (int k=0; k<process.size(); ++k) {
                                rates_[k] = path.value[k][location[i]];
                            }
                            List<double> dis = process.discountBond(rates_);

                            double npv=0.0;
                            for (int k=i; k < i+j; ++k) {
                                npv += (swapRate - rates_[k])
                                       * (  process.accrualEndTimes()[k]
                                          - process.accrualStartTimes()[k])*dis[k];
                            }
                            stat.add(Math.Max(npv, 0.0));
                        }

                        if (Math.Abs(swaption.NPV() - stat.mean())
                            > stat.errorEstimate()*2.35)
                            Assert.Fail("Failed to reproduce swaption npv"
                                        + "\n    calculated: " + stat.mean()
                                        + "\n    expected:   " + swaption.NPV());
                    }
                }
            }
        }