public static FiniteProbabilityModel getUmbrellaWorldModel()
{
// Prior belief state
FiniteNode rain_tm1 = new FullCPTNode(ExampleRV.RAIN_tm1_RV,
new double[] {0.5, 0.5});
// Transition Model
FiniteNode rain_t = new FullCPTNode(ExampleRV.RAIN_t_RV, new double[]
{
// R_t-1 = true, R_t = true
0.7,
// R_t-1 = true, R_t = false
0.3,
// R_t-1 = false, R_t = true
0.3,
// R_t-1 = false, R_t = false
0.7
}, rain_tm1);
// Sensor Model
FiniteNode umbrealla_t = new FullCPTNode(ExampleRV.UMBREALLA_t_RV,
new double[]
{
// R_t = true, U_t = true
0.9,
// R_t = true, U_t = false
0.1,
// R_t = false, U_t = true
0.2,
// R_t = false, U_t = false
0.8
}, rain_t);
return new FiniteBayesModel(new BayesNet(rain_tm1));
}