public static void Run()
{
// ExStart:PrepareAnalysisSettings
RiskAnalysisSettings settings = new RiskAnalysisSettings();
// Set number of iterations for Monte Carlo simulation (the default value is 100).
settings.IterationsCount = 200;
// ExEnd:PrepareAnalysisSettings
string dataDir = RunExamples.GetDataDir(System.Reflection.MethodBase.GetCurrentMethod().DeclaringType.FullName);
// ExStart:IdentifyAnalysisInput
Project project = new Project(dataDir + "Software Development Plan-1.mpp");
Task task = project.RootTask.Children.GetById(17);
// Initialize a risk pattern
RiskPattern pattern = new RiskPattern(task);
// Select a distribution type for the random number generator to generate possible values from (only two types currently supported, namely normal and uniform)
// For more details see here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution)
pattern.Distribution = ProbabilityDistributionType.Normal;
// Set the percentage of the most likely task duration which can happen in the best possible project scenario
// The default value is 75, which means that if the estimated specified task duration is 4 days then the optimistic duration will be 3 days
pattern.Optimistic = 70;
// Set the percentage of the most likely task duration which can happen in the worst possible project scenario
// The defaut value is 125, which means that if the estimated specified task duration is 4 days then the pessimistic duration will be 5 days.
pattern.Pessimistic = 130;
// Set a confidence level that correspond to the percentage of the time the actual values will be within optimistic and pessimistic estimates.
// You can think of it as a value of standard deviation: the more uncertain about your estimates you are, the more the value of standard deviation used in random number generator is
pattern.ConfidenceLevel = ConfidenceLevel.CL75;
settings.Patterns.Add(pattern);
// ExEnd:IdentifyAnalysisInput
// ExStart:AnalyzeRisks
// Analyze the project risks
RiskAnalyzer analyzer = new RiskAnalyzer(settings);
RiskAnalysisResult analysisResult = analyzer.Analyze(project);
// ExEnd:AnalyzeRisks
// ExStart:UseAnalysisResult
// Select the desired output (here we get early finish of the root task)
RiskItemStatistics rootEarlyFinish = analysisResult.GetRiskItems(RiskItemType.EarlyFinish).Get(project.RootTask);
Console.WriteLine("Expected value: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.ExpectedValue);
Console.WriteLine("StandardDeviation: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.StandardDeviation);
Console.WriteLine("10% Percentile: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.GetPercentile(10));
Console.WriteLine("50% Percentile: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.GetPercentile(50));
Console.WriteLine("90% Percentile: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.GetPercentile(90));
Console.WriteLine("Minimum: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.Minimum);
Console.WriteLine("Maximum: {0}", rootEarlyFinish.Maximum);
// Save PDF report which is rendered for Project Root Task Finish date
analysisResult.SaveReport(dataDir + "AnalysisReport_out.pdf");
// ExEnd:UseAnalysisResult
}
}
